Interim Update – 9/26/2022

Interim Update – 9/26/2022

Good Morning:

  • Due to my schedule this week, my public commentary will be brief and to the point. 
  • As indicated Friday, the market appeared poised to run the stops below the June 52-week low at 3639. 
  • However, as also mentioned, there was a risk of a short-covering rally due to the extreme position of the put/call ratio. 
  • As it turned out, the market experienced the highest put volume in history on Friday. 
  • The activity in puts and the ratio itself counsel that a short-term low is near.
  • The market did not quite make it down to the June low, which in and of itself was a sign that the market was strengthening – at least for Friday
  • Soon after, the Founders Group notified subscribers that they covered their short positions at 3671.25 to enjoy a peaceful, worry-free weekend. 
  • Right after we covered, a short covering rally did kick in and brought the market back to close just above 3700.
  • While the market may bounce here as we go into the close of the calendar quarter on Friday, nothing has changed. 
  • We are still in a bear market and the trend is down until proven otherwise. 
  • As such, we prefer to sell rallies and cover on dips. 
  • For the braver among us, reversing from long to short and vice versa on subscriber signals has been quite rewarding.
  • A recent, respected tactition said to nibble at 3400, buy at 3200, and load up the truck at 3000. Not such bad advice given all we know at this moment.

A.F. Thornton

AF Thornton

Website: https://tradingarchimedes.com

A.F. "Arthur" Thornton is an expert in logic, risk/reward quantification, market fractals, pattern recognition and asset class behavioral analysis with 34 years devoted to developing algorithmic and quantitative trading systems. In addition to trading his own capital, Mr. Thornton designs custom algorithmic and quantitative trading systems for a small and exclusive group of exceptionally qualified traders.

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