Morning Comments 10/14/2021

Morning Comments 10/14/2021

I was up late battling the overnight Globex thieves who read yesterday’s post. The Founders Group went back to a 10% position using S&P Futures last night before our Globex cousins stole all my thunder. We intend to exchange the futures for a 25% position in at the money November 19th SPY calls today.

The market gapped open above all of the critical resistance identified in my last post. Now you see the setup I described working in real-time. Let the market settle in, and don’t chase it. Look for a dip on the hourly charts to enter.

I have no expectations for this rally beyond the 4450 target. We will see what they can do after that. And as I have said all along, when you break a 60-week bull microchannel, the probabilities are that you enter a trading range. A move to the all-time high is the most likely outcome before rolling over again.

And what lies ahead is a 20-week cycle low due later in the year – likely November. So we can look forward to that.

Meanwhile, enjoy the run, and I will keep you posted on trades. I will also keep you posted on what kind of leadership we see out of this run.

A.F. Thornton

AF Thornton

Website: https://tradingarchimedes.com

A.F. "Arthur" Thornton is an expert in logic, risk/reward quantification, market fractals, pattern recognition and asset class behavioral analysis with 34 years devoted to developing algorithmic and quantitative trading systems. In addition to trading his own capital, Mr. Thornton designs custom algorithmic and quantitative trading systems for a small and exclusive group of exceptionally qualified traders.

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