So Far So Good as We Wait for the Fed

So Far So Good as We Wait for the Fed

The open is strong, with advancers over decliners by 3 to 1 on the NYSE and almost 4 to 1 on the NASDAQ. Still, we are encountering resistance at the S&P 500 Index Futures overnight high, with support at yesterday’s high.

There was no immediate gap-fill, which was positive, but we may yet see the fill as we did on the mirror image of today occurring yesterday. It is not surprising to see the market tentative with the Fed announcement looming, but the market needs to hold yesterday’s high by the close to have a confirmed pivot higher in the cash session.

For now, technology leads this morning.

The NASDAQ 100 leads the indexes.

Keep in mind that there is still short-covering today, which might distort fund flows. The follow-through rally after a low retest is where the fund flow picture typically gets clearer.

Anyway, this could be a long day. I will comment as needed – but most of my commentary will be reserved for the Fed post-mortem later today.

A.F. Thornton

AF Thornton

Website: https://tradingarchimedes.com

A.F. "Arthur" Thornton is an expert in logic, risk/reward quantification, market fractals, pattern recognition and asset class behavioral analysis with 34 years devoted to developing algorithmic and quantitative trading systems. In addition to trading his own capital, Mr. Thornton designs custom algorithmic and quantitative trading systems for a small and exclusive group of exceptionally qualified traders.

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