S&P 500 Index - Weekly Chart Analysis
S&P 500 Index - Weekly Chart Analysis

Click the chart above to expand. The buy and sell levels in the weekly chart above dictate whether the market is bull or bear for trading the lower time frames. The Navigator I buy and sell signals are the actual buy and sell signals for long-term investors who desire fewer trades. The Nav I signals mark a slower swing signal strategy than our main Navigator Swing Strategy. Also, note the Head and Shoulders reversal pattern on the chart, likely marking the bottom of the 18-month cycle on October 13th. Head and Shoulders patterns market cycle lows and highs in all time frames.

Good Morning:

  • Yesterday’s price action ended in a bull/bear draw, closing smack dab in the middle of the candle.
  • It was a volatile day with a 108-point range.
  • Yesterday’s close also landed in the middle of a three-week triangle consolidation between 4078.75 and 4186.50.
  • The levels quoted are now the current breakout levels.
  • The hat tip still favors the bulls without a full market meltdown in the face of another lousy (and understated) CPI report.
  • Moreover, Hurst cycles are often muted, coming off a bear market low.
  • Perhaps the current consolidation is the 20-week cycle correction – or the correction may be running late.
  • Our best judgment remains that the price will tag our original target around 4325-4345 before a meaningful correction ensues.
  • Markets do fall short of achieving the full octave from time to time before a meaningful correction, and there is a laundry list of negatives out there to drive the market lower.
  • As always, we will let the price and algorithms guide us.
  • Our target remains between 4325 and 4345. If the market cannot achieve the levels, the price will roll over into the 20-week correction sooner rather than later.
  • You now have the breakout levels to watch.

A.F. Thornton

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